The Wounded Forge: Anti-Closure, Calibrated Stress, and Metastability in Complex Adaptive Systems
The landscape paper. Systems that grow through disruption occupy a bounded metastability island in anti-closure × stress parameter space. Four Kuramoto/Arnold simulations — including a control experiment showing the island is a generic phase-transition feature, not framework-specific — establish the empirical ground. Two falsifications of earlier predictions are reported honestly and used to refine the framework. Anti-closure modulates the island (40% taller with φ-structured frequencies) but does not create it. The island shows where development can occur. It does not show why.